Tax Revenue Surges Amid Sharp Drop in State Borrowing

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A new report from the Treasury of the Republic of Cyprus reveals a diverging fiscal landscape for the first 11 months of 2025. While actual tax collections have seen a healthy boost, the overall “implementation” of the state revenue budget has slowed compared to last year—primarily due to a significant reduction in government borrowing. Conversely, state spending is moving at a slightly faster pace than in 2024, driven by increased social transfers and subsidies.

According to the Treasury’s State Budget Implementation Report, which tracks the period from January 1 to November 30, 2025, the state has realized 73% of its projected revenue, a drop from the 82% recorded during the same period in 2024.

Revenue Dynamics: A Tale of Two Streams

The headline “decrease” in revenue implementation is somewhat deceptive. While the percentage of the budget met is lower, this is almost entirely due to a €1.05 billion reduction in loan withdrawals. When looking at the “earning” power of the state, the picture is much brighter:

  • Direct Taxes: Rose by €0.17 billion (6%), fueled by a €0.13 billion increase in corporate and personal income tax.

  • Indirect Taxes: Increased by €0.14 billion (4%), with VAT contributions leading the way at €2.92 billion.

  • Borrowing Slump: By the end of November, loan withdrawals stood at just €0.09 billion, compared to a massive €1.14 billion in the previous year.

Expenditure: Social Spending on the Rise

Total state spending reached €9.59 billion by the end of November, representing a 74% implementation rate. This is slightly higher than the 71% pace seen in 2024.

Expenditure Category Change (Year-on-Year) Main Drivers
Social Security +€0.05 billion (3%) Higher health benefits and RES fund subsidies.
Transfers & Subsidies +€0.14 billion (9%) Increased grants to municipalities and social security contributions.
Debt Servicing -€0.19 billion Lower interest and domestic loan repayments.
Wages & Pensions -€0.03 billion Slight decline to €3.01 billion.

Development and Infrastructure Highlights

A bright spot in the report is the 56% implementation rate for development expenditure, which is significantly higher than the 50% ten-year average. The state has invested heavily in physical infrastructure and social support programs:

  • Roads & Buildings: €74.9 million was spent on the road network, with an additional €51.1 million for construction projects.

  • Education & Research: Significant sponsorships were directed to the University of Cyprus (€109.7 million) and the Cyprus University of Technology (€57.9 million).

  • Green Energy & Social Welfare: The Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Fund received €44.5 million, while €18.4 million went toward subsidizing tuition and meals for children under four.

“The 2025 implementation rate of 74% for total expenditure remains slightly above the decade’s average of 73%, signaling a steady execution of state priorities despite shifting debt obligations.” — Treasury of the Republic of Cyprus

Source: Stockwatch.com.cy

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